TRUMP KILLS IRANs PROPOSAL AND REWRITES THE WAR POWERS CLOCK

Iran passed a new offer through Pakistani mediators Thursday night 3GDN Iran offers new peace proposal to US but Trump ‘not satisfied’ and Trump walked out in front of cameras and killed it before the contents were even public, saying Iran is "very disjointed" and asking for things he cannot agree to 2AAM Trump says 'not satisfied' with Iran's proposal, citing demands he cannot agree to. Convenient framing, but not entirely wrong: Tehran is reportedly split between pursuing diplomacy and leaning harder on Hormuz leverage. The most underappreciated deadline in this whole conflict is the Trump-Xi summit on May 14-15. Iranian officials are explicitly counting on Trump wanting a deal before he sits down with Beijing 3GDN Iran offers new peace proposal to US but Trump ‘not satisfied’. That is a 13-day window.

On the legal front: a senior White House official declared that "for War Powers Resolution purposes, hostilities have terminated," invoking the ceasefire to stop the 60-day clock 5CRD White House adopts loophole to bypass congressional approval for war in Iran 10BBC Hegseth says clock paused on deadline to seek approval for Iran war. Defense Secretary Hegseth told the Senate the clock "pauses" during a ceasefire. Senator Tim Kaine replied, correctly, that the statute contains no such provision 10BBC Hegseth says clock paused on deadline to seek approval for Iran war. The Senate voted 47-50 to reject a Democratic war powers resolution 15GDN Senate Republicans again block effort to halt Trump’s war in Iran. The administration has the votes. It does not have the legal argument.

A senior Israeli military official said today that if Iran's enriched uranium is not physically removed from the country, the entire war will have been "one big failure" 1TOI IDF official says Iran war will be ‘one big failure’ if enriched uranium not removed. Iran still holds over 400 kilograms of highly enriched uranium, enough for 11 bombs if further processed, and the officer said another operation will be necessary without diplomatic removal of that stockpile 1TOI IDF official says Iran war will be ‘one big failure’ if enriched uranium not removed. Separately, the IDF Chief of Staff said every goal "defined by the political echelon" has been achieved, which is either a direct contradiction or very careful parsing. Channel 12 reports Israeli cabinet ministers believe negotiations could collapse at the start of next week and the US may need to deliver "a push" through fresh strikes on energy facilities 12TOI Israel said bracing for Iran fighting to resume soon, as Trump briefed on military options.

CENTCOM has formally requested deployment of the Dark Eagle hypersonic missile (Long-Range Hypersonic Weapon, LRHW) because Iran has moved its ballistic missile launchers beyond the range of existing US Precision Strike Missiles 12TOI Israel said bracing for Iran fighting to resume soon, as Trump briefed on military options 14RTN US military wants untested hypersonic missiles deployed against Iran, Bloomberg. No deployment has been confirmed, but the operational logic is blunt: the US is running out of reach on some of its primary strike systems. This request, combined with the Israeli warnings about resumed fighting, is the clearest indication yet that both allies are actively planning a next phase rather than just talking about one 14RTN US military wants untested hypersonic missiles deployed against Iran, Bloomberg.

The UAE formally left OPEC today, and the timing is deliberate: Abu Dhabi is aligning with Washington's interest in breaking the cartel's pricing power 4AJE UAE exit from OPEC signals closer alignment with US interests, experts say. Analysts estimate the UAE could add roughly 2 million barrels per day once the strait reopens, which is medium-term relief. Brent settled around $108, down sharply from Thursday's $126 high, though still about 55 percent above pre-war levels 4AJE UAE exit from OPEC signals closer alignment with US interests, experts say. Separately, the Financial Times and Axios report that Israel deployed its Iron Beam laser air defense system to the UAE during the fighting, along with Iron Dome and drone detection systems, manned by Israeli troops: the first confirmed operational deployment of Iron Beam outside Israel and the most tangible security cooperation the Abraham Accords have produced 11TOI Israel sent laser system to UAE to help intercept Iranian missiles and drones, report.

US pump prices hit $4.33 per gallon against $2.98 the day the war started, a 45 percent jump in 63 days 4AJE UAE exit from OPEC signals closer alignment with US interests, experts say. The food system story is getting less attention than it deserves: Yara's CEO told the BBC that fertiliser supply disruption is costing the equivalent of 10 billion meals per week globally, with fertiliser prices up 80 percent since the war began 13BBC Fertiliser boss says Iran war puts 10 billion meals a week at risk. European airlines are cutting capacity, Lufthansa has cancelled 20,000 flights, and jet fuel is up more than 105 percent year-on-year 7CRD Hormuz chokepoint: War, blockade, and the unraveling of global energy flows. Trump said today prices will fall "below what they were" when a deal is done, which is a political promise that will be very hard to honour given how much infrastructure damage has already accumulated.