IRAN FIRES ON US BASES IN JORDAN, US AND SAUDI ARABIA HIT IRAQI MILITIAS

Iran's IRGC launched multiple ballistic missiles at US forces in Jordan, all of which were intercepted, but Trump's detail that troops had "minutes" to respond suggests the attack was designed to overwhelm defences, not just send a message. 4TOI Trump says US to ‘beat the f*cking sh*t’ out of Iran after attack on bases in Jordan 11AJE Iran attacks US bases in Middle East as Trump meets Netanyahu The US and Saudi Arabia struck militia logistics sites in eastern Iraq within hours, killing 20 PMF fighters and five Iranian advisers whose coffins arrived in Baghdad wrapped in Iranian flags. 4TOI Trump says US to ‘beat the f*cking sh*t’ out of Iran after attack on bases in Jordan 12BBC Iran and US trade strikes, shattering brief lull in fighting CENTCOM says the Iraq strikes were actually retaliation for over 30 IRGC-directed drone attacks in the preceding 72 hours, which means the ceasefire was already burning before anyone noticed. 12BBC Iran and US trade strikes, shattering brief lull in fighting Saudi Arabia publicly co-signing the Iraq operation is the genuinely new element: Riyadh just handed Iran's proxy network a legitimate grievance and a concrete target list.

A drone struck the Energos Winter at Damietta, starting a fire that spread to a second tanker, Gaslog Salem, with no casualties reported. 6YNT Drone hits US-owned gas tanker at Egyptian port named in Iranian threat Two days before the strike, Iranian state television broadcast a map of potential revenge targets with Damietta specifically highlighted and its gas export role to Europe noted. 6YNT Drone hits US-owned gas tanker at Egyptian port named in Iranian threat Egypt is describing it as a fire under investigation, maritime security firm Ambrey says it was a drone, and Iran has not claimed it, so the attribution is single-source and contested. If confirmed as Iranian-directed, this is the first strike on a NATO-adjacent Arab state's infrastructure at a port supplying European gas markets, which is a different category of escalation than anything the previous five months produced.

Iran's deputy foreign minister rejected Oman's southern Hormuz corridor proposal in definitive terms, saying Tehran will not recognise it "even for one hour" and will not permit foreign mine-clearing operations in the strait. 3TTM Iran rejects southern Strait of Hormuz shipping route He also said Washington has been sending back-channel messages seeking to prevent escalation, directly contradicting Trump's claim of meaningful contact. 3TTM Iran rejects southern Strait of Hormuz shipping route Separately, Iran's military headquarters threatened to bar any company or country that accepts US-seized Iranian funds as compensation for war-damaged ships from transiting Hormuz. 8CRD Iran warns nations taking US payouts from frozen assets 'will not pass' Hormuz Meanwhile the Houthis, with Iranian advisers freshly arrived from Tehran, are building a toll collection authority for Bab al-Mandab that would exempt Chinese vessels entirely, creating a two-tier maritime system that Tehran controls and Oman's proposal would have diluted. 1JPM Yemen's Houthis considering fees for ships sailing through Red Sea, sources say

Fewer than 827 Patriot interceptors and 278 THAAD missiles remain in US stockpiles, per CSIS estimates described as close to internal Pentagon figures. 10CNN US weapons stockpiles continue to dwindle with permanent end to Iran war nowhere in sight US commanders are already declining to intercept Iranian projectiles aimed at unpopulated areas to conserve the supply. 10CNN US weapons stockpiles continue to dwindle with permanent end to Iran war nowhere in sight Trump is promising to hit Iran hard while his military is rationing the missiles that keep US bases survivable, which is not a sustainable gap. Whether his next strike targets Iranian territory directly or stays confined to proxy forces in Iraq will tell you whether the shortage is actually constraining his options.

Iran publicly executed Abolfazl Sepahi Badjani and Amirhossein Safari Hosseinabadi in Isfahan for their roles in the January protests, as onlookers chanted "Dishonorable" and security forces deployed on rooftops and fired tear gas at the crowd. 13FOX Iran hangs 2 protesters in public, crowd cries 'dishonorable' as security fires tear gas They are two of 12 defendants sentenced to death in the Alikhani Square case. A government conducting public executions of domestic dissidents while under external military pressure is communicating something specific: it intends to survive this war on its own terms, not moderate in response to it. Make of that what you will.