# TLDR: 2026-06-28 (Day 121) Lead: TWO NIGHTS OF IRANIAN STRIKES ON US BASES Compiled by a language model from that day's archived articles; analysis, not archive record. Page: https://iranwar.liminallayers.com/bulletins/tldr-2026-06-28/ Licence: CC BY 4.0 (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/); sources remain their publishers'. ## OVERVIEW Two nights of Iranian missile and drone strikes on US bases in Bahrain and Kuwait, two nights of US strikes on Iranian military sites around the Strait of Hormuz, and the Islamabad MOU is still technically alive while both sides use military action to improve their negotiating position. The core fight is over who controls Hormuz transit routes, a question the MOU deliberately left vague, and that gap is now being filled with ordnance. Trump has threatened Iran's existence; the IRGC has threatened to blow up the nuclear talks entirely. Neither has pulled the trigger on either threat yet. ## TWO NIGHTS OF IRANIAN STRIKES ON US BASES The IRGC hit the Fifth Fleet at Port Salman in Bahrain and the Ali Al Salem airbase in Kuwait for the second consecutive night on Sunday. [1] [9] Kuwait intercepted two ballistic missiles with no casualties; Bahrain reported building damage near its airport, also no fatalities; a Qatari national was killed by shrapnel from unattributed munitions near the strait. [3] The casualty ambiguity matters: in an environment of overlapping fire, attribution is getting harder and the margin for accidental escalation is shrinking. CENTCOM struck 10 Iranian military targets across the weekend, hitting surveillance infrastructure, air defences, drone storage, and mine-laying facilities at Sirik, Bandar-e Lengeh, and Qeshm Island. [9] [11] ## IRGC THREATENS TO KILL THE NUCLEAR TALKS The IRGC's Sunday statement warned that further US violations of the MOU will trigger "complete suspension of all related processes," meaning the nuclear working group, the sanctions waiver, and the asset unfreezing. [1] Iran's Foreign Ministry has not formally echoed this yet, so watch whether Foreign Minister Araghchi confirms or walks it back from his Baghdad platform this week. A confirmation effectively stops the 60-day diplomatic clock. The underlying problem is Article 5 of the MOU, which promises Iran's "best efforts for safe passage" but does not define an authorised route, giving both sides legal cover to keep shooting while claiming the other side broke the deal first. [4] ## CONGRESS PASSED A WAR POWERS RESOLUTION. TRUMP STRUCK IRAN ANYWAY. The Senate passed its war powers resolution 50-48 on Tuesday, with four Republicans crossing over, and the House had already passed a companion measure. [6] Trump ordered the weekend strikes regardless. The resolution is technically nonbinding, so he can ignore it, but the political cost compounds with every additional strike he orders without congressional authorisation. [6] Democratic lawmakers are threatening legal action, and Republican leadership is holding its caucus together senator by senator, which is not a sustainable strategy heading into autumn. ## IRAQ RAIDS ITS OWN GREEN ZONE AHEAD OF ZAIDI WASHINGTON VISIT Pre-dawn sweeps by Iraqi Counter-Terrorism Service and army units netted over two dozen politicians and officials on corruption charges, including the Deputy Oil Minister for Refining Affairs and several MPs. [8] A PMU leader said the campaign would continue until PM Zaidi's July 17 Washington visit. [8] Zaidi was installed with US backing after Washington vetoed Maliki, and the arrests appear to fall disproportionately on Iran-aligned figures. Whether this is genuine anti-corruption enforcement or a US-backed political cleanse is genuinely unclear, but either way Iraq's domestic politics are moving fast and not in Tehran's direction. ## LEBANON FRAMEWORK SURVIVES EXACTLY ONE DAY BEFORE ITS FIRST FATALITY An Israeli soldier, Captain David Hazutt, 21, was killed in a clash with a Hezbollah gunman in southern Lebanon within 24 hours of the framework being signed. [7] Hezbollah leader Naim Kassem says the group will keep fighting until Israel leaves, and Hezbollah's parliamentary bloc is already warning of internal Lebanese conflict over the deal. [5] [15] The framework ties Israeli withdrawal to full Hezbollah disarmament, which Hezbollah has explicitly rejected, and Netanyahu says Israel stays until disarmament happens. [13] [15] Those two positions do not overlap, and the first pilot-zone handover has no public timetable yet. ## References 1. [TTM] Tehran Times: Iran to respond more forcefully to MoU violations after 2nd night of fire exchange with US 2. [GDN] The Guardian — Middle East: Fresh hostilities in Gulf suggest US-Iran memorandum was too broadly worded 3. [GDN] The Guardian — Middle East: Escalating US-Iran strikes threaten interim peace agreement 4. [AJE] Al Jazeera: What is Article 5 of Iran-US MoU, and why is it blamed for Hormuz strikes? 5. [GDN] The Guardian — Middle East: Donald Trump threatens to annihilate Iran after crossfire over Hormuz, Middle East crisis live 6. [AJE] Al Jazeera: US strikes Iran for second day: Is it a violation of war powers resolution? 7. [TOI] The Times of Israel: IDF officer killed in clash with Hezbollah gunman in south Lebanon 8. [CRD] The Cradle: Iraqi forces storm Green Zone, arrest politicians in 'anti-corruption' crackdown: Report 9. [AJE] Al Jazeera: Iran attacks Kuwait and Bahrain in response to US strikes 10. [GDN] The Guardian — Middle East: Gulf shares concerns with US as Iran’s influence and power continue by proxy 11. [TOI] The Times of Israel: Trump threatens to ‘complete the job’ in Iran as US military launches fresh strikes 12. [BBC] BBC News: US launches strikes on Iran after second shipping attack 13. [TOI] The Times of Israel: PM: Iran, Hezbollah to have ‘no role in Lebanon’ under deal, Israel can maintain security zone 14. [GLT] Global Times: Fresh US-Iran strikes expose fragility of MoU, with contest over Strait of Hormuz: Chinese expert 15. [APW] Associated Press: Lebanon-Israel deal requires Hezbollah's disarmament 16. [PTV] Press TV: US-led coalition forces will withdraw from Iraq by September, says PM Zaidi